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WASHINGTON, March 2 (UPI) -- Slowly, quietly and almost by stealth, the Bush administration
has just scored a major foreign policy success. The European opposition
to Bush's plan to go ahead with a controversial and multi-billion dollar
missile defense system has collapsed.
German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, whose government had until this week been one of the
coldest critics of the program, has now accepted it and proposed the
Germany should take part in the technology -- and even with the funding
- of an alliance missile defense system.
Schroeder's remarks, in the course of an interview on N24 TV in Berlin, followed immediately
after the visit to Washington and Camp David by British Prime Minister
Tony Blair. In the British tradition of steadfast support for its U.S.
ally and the Atlantic Alliance, Blair accepted the need to work on both
offensive and defensive systems against post-Cold War threats.
"I understand and share the concern of the president and the American administration about
weapons of mass destruction and nuclear proliferation. And I think it is
very important in that context that we discuss all the ways that we can
deal with this threat, which is a real threat and a present threat, both
in relation to offensive and defensive systems," Blair said in the joint
press conference with President George W. Bush after their Camp David weekend.
Although he faces a general election this year, Blair had a far easier task than Schroeder
in lining up behind the U.S. decision. Decades of intimacy in
intelligence and nuclear cooperation between the United States and
Britain, along with a broadly pro-American British public, meant Blair
faces little domestic political damage. But for Schroeder, whose
coalition government depends on Green support in a country with a large
pacifist movement, the costs could be severe.
The British and German leaders, who stay in close touch as the United States' two key allies in
Europe, discussed the results of Blair's visit by phone shortly after he
returned to Downing Street. Blair stressed that the
U.S. decision had already been taken; the Bush administration was
determined to go ahead. But Blair noted that there was still no decision
on what kind of system to develop, no agreement on the main technology
to pursue, and that any deployment was some years away. As a result,
there was time for the European allies, and possibly even the Russians,
to participate in the U.S. deliberations.
As a result of that talk with Blair, Chancellor Schroeder began cautiously in announcing what
amounted to a U-turn in German policy. It was, after all, a sharp
departure from the earlier statements of Germany's foreign and defense
ministers, who had echoed Russian and French fears that the U.S. system
could destabilize the strategic security system that had lasted since
1972, when the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty was signed.
"With regard to the planned national missile defense system (NMD), it would be necessary
first of all to discuss specific needs," Schroeder began. "What threat
scenarios are seen and how should we respond to them -- with a purely
national defense system or with a system that also includes Europe and
does not exclude Russia?" Schroeder said. "Only then a decision should
be made on building the system and how to build it."
Two other European countries remain important on the NMD issue. The first is Denmark, for
geographical reasons. The NMD system will need state-of-the-art radars,
and the two probable sites are at Britain's Fylingdales and in
Greenland, a self-governing territory under Danish sovereignty. There
could be political difficulties over the site, but with British and
German support the Danes will probably agree.
That leaves France, whose conservative President Jacques Chirac and socialist government led
by Lionel Jospin are agreed on few things -- except to oppose NMD as a
dangerously destabilizing new venture in military technology. France's
foreign minister Hubert Vedrine has been outspoken on the need for other
countries to balance America's "hyper-power," and has promoted the idea
of Russia, China and Europe collectively urging the United States to
drop the NMD idea.
France now looks isolated within Europe. Bush already looks like the convincing leader of
the Atlantic Alliance, having steadfastly pushed his idea and persuaded
his two main allies to back him. All that is needed now is the
technology -- 18 years after President Ronald Reagan first evoked it --
to take anti-missile defenses from the drawing board into reality.