George Bush, we are told, has chosen as his White House work desk a handsome
product fashioned from timbers taken from HMS Resolute, a British naval
vessel that ran aground off New England in the 1850s. If so, the desk - last
used by President Kennedy - will be just about the only example of British
resolution to come within a yardarm's length of the new administration.
According to Bruce Jackson, vice president of Lockheed Martin and a leading
Republican member of the U.S. Committee on NATO, failure by the United
Kingdom to commit to the revamped National Missile Defense System would
"materially degrade the security of Europe."
It is a serious charge to level at America's most loyal ally and gets to the
heart of a NATO feud that has opened up between the United States and its
European allies.
Tony Blair, the British prime minister, concerned that his close personal
relationship with Bill Clinton does not exactly endear him to the incoming
administration, has rushed to defuse the crisis. So far, he insists, no one
in Washington has so much as asked him his opinion on NMD, so that all he
can do is wait and see.
Well, he may not have to wait too long. Bush's appointment of Donald
Rumsfeld as defense secretary is virtually an open endorsement of NMD - or
Son of Star Wars, as it is popularly known. Rumsfeld has promised an
immediate review of America's defense and early-warning systems, and no one
doubts that this means an early boost to the $50 billion-plus Star Wars
program.
What now unfolds could prove a rerun of the cruise missile crisis of the
early 1980s. Then, it will be recalled, President Ronald Reagan exerted
pressure throughout Europe to ensure the success of his controversial
"twin-track" approach to strategic arms limitation.
To make the Soviet Union cave into his demands for an Intermediate Nuclear
Forces Treaty, he planned to deploy new-generation cruise missiles
throughout Western Europe, targeted on the Soviets. France was aghast, West
Germany was reluctant to become involved and Britain, as ever, was seen as the key.
At that time, of course, Margaret Thatcher was in power at No. 10 Downing
St., and it was her almost-symbiotic relationship with Reagan that saved the
day for the cruise missiles. Millions of ordinary Britons were concerned -
some of them to the point of sustained, occasionally violent opposition to
the deployment. But the deal was done, and the result, like it or not, was history.
Twenty years later, William Hague, the eager young leader of the
Conservative opposition at Westminster, is itching to repeat the trick. He,
too, wants to play his part in history. More than that, he wants to cement
an already close bond with President Bush, a man he sees as infinitely
preferable to the slippery, too-clever-by-half Clinton.
Britain, says Hague, must once again rally to the flag - to the Stars and
Stripes, that is - and upgrade its Fylingdales early-warning center to
accommodate NMD. Bush, in Hague's view, is right on the button. Europe must
be made to see sense before Western democracy is seriously threatened by
ballistic missiles based in such "rogue" states as North Korea, Iraq and
Libya.
Hague, it needs to be said, is an out-and-out Atlanticist. To him, the
continent to which Britain is so inconveniently hitched is constantly out of
step with "correct" thinking and needs urgently to be brought to heel.
The problem is, Prime Minister Blair does not agree. Indeed, his defense
secretary, Geoff Hoon, has accused Hague of showing no judgment or sense of
responsibility and of "blundering around on a very sensitive issue."
Bush will not like that. Rumsfeld will be wondering if Blair is, as Thatcher
used to put it, "one of us." But America needs to remember two things.
First, Europe cannot easily be pushed around any more. The euro has come off
the floor and is punching its way back into the international currency
fight. It is also deeply engaged in a debate on continental self-defense and
the future of NATO. Britain has influence and respect in the defense field.
Its forces, pound for pound, remain the toughest and best trained in the
West. But it is only one partner in a complex mix, and its Labor government
- set to be re-elected this year - is, at the very least, of two minds about NMD.
Rumsfeld and his boss should tread warily until they find out exactly what
is going on in Europe's capitals on this vexed, and costly, issue. And they
should not take Britain's backing for granted. Failure to get agreement and
do the right thing on Star Wars would be the most damaging start imaginable
to the new, mature relationship that is supposed to exist today between the
United States and its European friends.
Walter Ellis, a writer and analyst based in London, is a former Brussels
correspondent for The Irish Times and features editor of The European.